Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
 2024 U.S. presidential election | |
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| Republican Party | |
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This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.[1]
Forecasts
[edit]Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.
| State | EVs | PVI[2] | 2020 result |
2020 margin[3] |
IE August 29, 2024[4] |
Cook August 27, 2024[5] |
CNalysis August 18, 2024[6] |
Sabato August 20, 2024[7] |
CNN August 18, 2024[8] |
RCP September 13, 2024[9] |
DDHQ September 14, 2024[10] |
538 September 14, 2024[11] |
Economist September 10, 2024[12] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | 3 | R+8 | 52.8% R | 10.06% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Arizona | 11 | R+2 | 49.4% D | 0.31% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Colorado | 10 | D+4 | 55.4% D | 13.50% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Florida | 30 | R+3 | 51.2% R | 3.36% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R |
| Georgia | 16 | R+3 | 49.5% D | 0.24% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Illinois | 19 | D+7 | 57.5% D | 16.99% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Iowa | 6 | R+6 | 53.1% R | 8.20% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Kansas | 6 | R+10 | 56.4% R | 14.63% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Maine[a] | 2 | D+2 | 53.1% D | 9.07% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| ME–01[a] | 1 | D+9 | 60.1% D | 23.09% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Solid D | Solid D |
| ME–02[a] | 1 | R+6 | 52.3% R | 7.44% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Michigan | 15 | R+1 | 50.6% D | 2.78% | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Minnesota | 10 | D+1 | 52.4% D | 7.11% | Lean D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Missouri | 10 | R+10 | 56.8% R | 15.39% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| Montana | 4 | R+11 | 56.9% R | 16.37% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Solid R |
| NE–02[a] | 1 | EVEN | 52.0% D[b] | 6.50% | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
| Nevada | 6 | R+1 | 50.1% D | 2.39% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| New Hampshire | 4 | D+1 | 52.7% D | 7.35% | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
| New Jersey | 14 | D+6 | 57.3% D | 15.94% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
| New Mexico | 5 | D+3 | 54.3% D | 10.79% | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| North Carolina | 16 | R+3 | 49.9% R | 1.35% | Tossup | Tossup | Tilt R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| Ohio | 17 | R+6 | 53.3% R | 8.03% | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Lean R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Oregon | 8 | D+6 | 56.4% D | 16.08% | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D | Likely D | Safe D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Pennsylvania | 19 | R+2 | 50.0% D | 1.16% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
| South Carolina | 9 | R+8 | 55.1% R | 11.68% | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Solid R | Likely R | Safe R | Likely R | Likely R |
| Texas | 40 | R+5 | 52.1% R | 5.58% | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Lean R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R |
| Virginia | 13 | D+3 | 54.1% D | 10.11% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D |
| Wisconsin | 10 | R+2 | 49.5% D | 0.63% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup |
| Overall | D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 241 R – 235 62 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 225 R – 219 94 tossups |
D – 221 R – 219 98 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups |
D – 236 R – 219 83 tossups |
D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups | ||||
Polling
[edit]Alabama
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| WPA Intelligence[13] | August 23–24 & 26, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 12% |
Alaska
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[14][A] | August 30 – September 1, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| Data for Progress (D)[16] | February 23 – March 2, 2024 | 1,120 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Alaska Survey Research[17] | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 45% | 37% | 19% |
| Alaska Survey Research[18] | July 18–21, 2023 | 1,336 (LV) | – | 43% | 36% | 21% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | |||||||
| Alaska Survey Research[17] | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 37% | 29% | 17% | 17% |
Arizona
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [d] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 22 – September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.8% | 48.4% | 4.8% | Trump +1.6% |
| 270ToWin | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.4% | 48.4% | 5.2% | Trump +2.0% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.3% | 47.9% | 4.8% | Trump +0.6% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.7% | 47.7% | 4.6% | Tie |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.3% | 49.1% | 3.6% | Trump +1.8% |
| 538 | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 45.6% | 46.3% | 8.1% | Trump +0.7% |
| Average | 46.65% | 47.70% | 5.65% | Trump +1.05% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R)[19] | September 11–12, 2024 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 7%[e] |
| Morning Consult[20] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 901 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| TIPP Insights[21][B] | September 3–5, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| 949 (LV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| Patriot Polling[22] | September 1–3, 2024 | 804 (RV) | – | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[23] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Emerson College[24] | August 25–28, 2024 | 720 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 50% | 7% |
| 48%[f] | 51% | 1%[g] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 776 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% | ||
| Fox News[26] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[27][C] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[28][D] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,187 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[29] | August 12–16, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Focaldata[30] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 51% | – |
| Strategies 360[31] | August 7–14, 2024 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[32] | August 8–15, 2024 | 677 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | 7% |
| 677 (LV) | 50% | 45% | 5% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[33] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,092 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 435 (LV) | – | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| HighGround[36] | July 30 – August 5, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 42% | 14%[h] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[37][E] | July 29–30, 2024 | 618 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[38][F] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[39] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Emerson College[40] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| 47%[f] | 53% | – | ||||
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[41] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[42][E] | July 10–11, 2024 | 596 (RV) | – | 44% | 52% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[43] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Emerson College[44] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
| New York Times/Siena College[45] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| 603 (LV) | 43% | 48% | 9% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [i] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 9, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 46.3% | 46.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | — | 5.3% | Trump +0.3% |
| RealClearPolling | August 13 – August 29, 2024 | August 29, 2024 | 46.3% | 47.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.6% | Trump +0.7% |
| 270toWin | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | Trump +1.2% |
| Average | 46.3% | 47.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | Trump +0.8% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[46] | September 6–9, 2024 | 765 (LV) | – | 46% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| TIPP Insights[21][B] | September 3–5, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 46% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
| 949 (LV) | 48% | 48% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% | |||
| YouGov[47][G] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 47% | 1% | 1% | – | 6%[j] |
| CNN/SSRS[48] | August 23–29, 2024 | 682 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 49% | – | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[49] | August 25–28, 2024 | 530 (LV) | – | 45% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 776 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Fox News[26] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Arkansas
[edit]Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[50][H] | September 5–6, 2024 | 696 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 40% | 1% | – | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| Emerson College[51] | October 1–4, 2023 | 435 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
| Echelon Insights[52] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
California
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[53] | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 60% | 36% | 4% |
| 61%[f] | 38% | 1%[k] | ||||
| ActiVote[54] | August 2–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 65% | 35% | – |
| UC Berkeley IGS[55] | July 31 – August 11, 2024 | 3,765 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 34% | 7% |
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| Emerson College/Inside California Elections[56][I] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Colorado
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[57] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 498 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 40% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| Global Strategy Group (D)[58][J] | June 17–24, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 529 (LV) | – | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| New Bridge Strategy (R)/Aspect Strategic (D)[60][L] | March 15–19, 2024 | 632 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[61] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 170 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| 179 (RV) | 48% | 43% | 9% | |||
| Emerson College[62] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,856 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
| Global Strategy Group (D)[58][J] | January 22–28, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[63] | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D)[64][L] | November 26–27, 2023 | 652 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 36% | 19% |
| Emerson College[65] | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[66] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Emerson College[67] | October 26–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Emerson College[68] | September 18–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[69] | July 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[70] | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | |||||||||
| Global Strategy Group (D)[58][J] | June 17–24, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 36% | 12% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder[63] | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[66] | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 529 (LV) | – | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 529 (LV) | – | 47% | 35% | 18% |
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blueprint Polling (D)[70] | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
Connecticut
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| Emerson College[71] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College[72] | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[73] | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Emerson College[74] | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Delaware
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[75][M] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[75][M] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[75][M] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 42% | 36% | 22% |
District of Columbia
[edit]Florida
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [l] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[76] | July 25 – September 6, 2024 | September 6, 2024 | 43.0% | 49.0% | 8.0% | Trump +6.0 |
| 270ToWin[77] | July 30 – September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 44.8% | 48.8% | 6.4% | Trump +4.0 |
| Average | 43.9% | 48.9% | 7.2% | Trump +5.0 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[78] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 3,182 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Emerson College[79] | September 3–5, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| 51%[f] | 48% | 1%[m] | ||||
| ActiVote[80] | August 16–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Cherry Communications (R)[81][N] | August 15–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[82][O] | August 21–22, 2024 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| ActiVote[83] | August 5–15, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[84] | August 10–11, 2024 | 1,055 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5%[n] |
| 1,040 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 47% | 3%[o] | ||
| University of North Florida[85] | July 24–27, 2024 | 774 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 42% | 9%[p] |
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[86][q] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12%[r] |
| Suffolk University/USA Today[87] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
| Victory Insights[88] | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[89] | September 6–9, 2024 | 1,465 (LV) | – | 50% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Georgia
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [s] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[90] | July 22 – September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.0% | 48.3% | 3.7% | Trump +0.3% |
| 270ToWin[91] | July 30 – September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 6.0% | Trump +1.2% |
| 538[92] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.0% | 46.5% | 7.5% | Trump +0.5% |
| Silver Bulletin[93] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.8% | 48.0% | 4.2% | Trump +0.2% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[94] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.0% | 48.5% | 3.5% | Trump +0.5% |
| Race to the WH[95] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.3% | 48.1% | 4.6% | Trump +0.8% |
| Average | 47.2% | 47.5% | 5.3% | Trump +0.3% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[96] | August 8 – September 10, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Quinnipiac University[97] | September 4–8, 2024 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[98] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,405 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[99] | September 5–6, 2024 | 647 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9%[t] |
| 567 (LV) | 45% | 47% | 8%[u] | |||
| Patriot Polling[100] | September 1–3, 2024 | 814 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[101] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4%[u] |
| Emerson College[102] | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 48% | 3%[v] |
| 50%[f] | 49% | 1%[v] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 737 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% | ||
| Fox News[26] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[27][C] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Focaldata[103] | August 6–16, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 52% | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[104] | August 9–14, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| 661 (LV) | 46% | 50% | 4% | |||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[105][P] | July 24–31, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[106] | July 29–30, 2024 | – (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[107][E] | July 29–30, 2024 | 662 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108] | July 24–28, 2024 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 5% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[109][Q] | July 25–26, 2024 | 505 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Emerson College[110] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||||
| Landmark Communications[111] | July 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[112][R] | July 9–18, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[113][w] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 37% | 47% | 16% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[114] | July 12–15, 2024 | 640 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| 549 (LV) | 43% | 49% | 8% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[115] | May 7–13, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College[116] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[117] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 629 (LV) | 44% | 47% | 9% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [i] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH[118] | through September 9, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 46.2% | 47.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | — | 4.8% | Trump +1.3% |
| RealClearPolitics[119] | August 9 – September 8, 2024 | September 8, 2024 | 46.4% | 47.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | Trump +0.6% |
| 270ToWin[120] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.4% | 47.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.4% | Trump +1.2% |
| Average | 46.3% | 47.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | Trump +1.1% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[121] | September 6–9, 2024 | 562 (LV) | – | 47% | 49% | – | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[97] | September 4–8, 2024 | 969 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6%[x] |
| YouGov[122][G] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 47% | 0% | 0% | – | 8%[y] |
| CNN/SSRS[123] | August 23–29, 2024 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[124] | August 25–28, 2024 | 699 (LV) | – | 42% | 44% | – | 1% | 0% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 737 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 46% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Fox News[26] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,014 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
Hawaii
[edit]Idaho
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| Emerson College[125] | October 1–4, 2023 | 490 (RV) | ±4.4% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Illinois
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[126] | August 6–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – |
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cor Strategies[127] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[128] | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Cor Strategies[127] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
| Emerson College[129] | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[130] | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Emerson College[131] | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
J. B. Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[130] | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Indiana
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump (R) |
Kamala Harris(D) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D)[S] | August 26 - September 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[132] | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 34% | 11% |
| Emerson College[133] | October 1–4, 2023 | 462 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 29% | 24% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[132] | March 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44.5% | 28.7% | 26.8% |
Iowa
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[134][T] | September 8–11, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 3%[aa] |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[135][U] | July 8–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Selzer & Co.[136][T] | February 25–28, 2024 | 640 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 33% | 19%[ab] |
| Cygnal (R)[137][U] | February 13–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| John Zogby Strategies[138] | January 2–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Emerson College[139] | December 15–17, 2023 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
| Emerson College[140] | October 1–4, 2023 | 464 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 34% | 22% |
| Cygnal (R)[141][U] | September 28–29, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
| Emerson College[142] | September 7–9, 2023 | 896 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
| HarrisX[143][V] | August 17–21, 2023 | 1,952 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 12% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[144] | July 9–12, 2023 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| Emerson College[145] | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Cygnal (R)[146][U] | April 3–4, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| Emerson College[147] | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Cygnal (R)[148][U] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
| Cygnal (R)[149][U] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[150][U] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
| Selzer & Co.[151][T] | November 7–10, 2021 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[152][U] | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co.[153][T] | June 9–14, 2024 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 32% | 9% | 2% | 7%[ac] |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[142] | September 7–9, 2023 | 896 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 35% | 5% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[141][U] | September 28–29, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 34% | 18% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 405 (LV) | – | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Data Poll (R)[144] | July 9–12, 2023 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 36% | 26% |
| Emerson College[145] | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
| Cygnal (R)[146][U] | April 3–4, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[141][U] | September 28–29, 2023 | 506 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 33% | 18% |
Kansas
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[154] | October 1–4, 2023 | 487 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Emerson College[155] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| Emerson College[156] | September 15–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
| Echelon Insights[157] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[157] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Kentucky
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[158] | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[159] | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 55% | 34% | 11% |
| co/efficient (R)[160] | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | 33% | 10% |
Louisiana
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faucheux Strategies[161][W] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
| Echelon Insights[162] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faucheux Strategies[161][W] | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 33% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 6% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[162] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Maine
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[163] | August 15–19, 2024 | 951 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 58% | 41% | 1% |
| University of New Hampshire[164] | July 23–25, 2024 | 1,445 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 54% | 45% | 1% |
Maine's 1st congressional district
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[165] | August 15–19, 2024 | 476 (LV) | – | 64% | 36% | – |
Maine's 2nd congressional district
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[166] | August 15–19, 2024 | 432 (LV) | – | 47% | 52% | 1% |
Maryland
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | August 30–September 8, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 62% | 34% | 4% |
| Gonzales Research | August 24–30, 2024 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 10% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[X] | August 14–20, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 64% | 32% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Jill Stein Green |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[X] | August 14–20, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 59% | 29% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[167] | June 19–20, 2024 | 635 (V) | ± 3.9% | 56% | 30% | 15% |
| Emerson College[168] | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[169][Y] | May 6–7, 2024 | 719 (V) | ± 3.7% | 60% | 32% | 8% |
| Emerson College[170] | February 12–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
| Gonzales Research[171] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | 15% |
| Gonzales Research[172] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | 13% |
| Gonzales Research[173] | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[168] | May 6–8, 2024 | 1,115 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 33% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 6% |
| Emerson College[170] | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research[171] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 28% | 18% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research[171] | January 23 – February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | 14% |
| Gonzales Research[172] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research[172] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
| Gonzales Research[173] | May 30 – June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[z] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzales Research[172] | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 29% | 15% |
Massachusetts
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suffolk University[174][Z] | July 16–18, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| University of New Hampshire[175] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 68% | 32% | – |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[176] | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
| Emerson College[177] | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[178] | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[175] | May 16–20, 2024 | 526 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 55% | 26% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov/UMass Amherst[179] | May 17–30, 2024 | 700 (A) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 27% | 9% | 16% |
| Suffolk University[180][Z] | April 16–20, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% |
| Suffolk University[181] | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
| YouGov[182][AA] | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
Michigan
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [ad] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[183] | August 23 – September 12, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 4.1% | Harris +0.7% |
| 270ToWin[184] | August 10–September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.8% | 45.2% | 7.0% | Harris +2.6% |
| 538[185] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.8% | 44.9% | 8.3% | Harris +2.1% |
| Silver Bulletin[186] | through September 9, 2024 | September 9, 2024 | 48.3% | 46.8% | 4.9% | Harris +1.5% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[187] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.3% | 46.9% | 4.8% | Harris +1.4% |
| Race to the WH[188] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.8% | 46.4% | 4.8% | Harris +2.4% |
| Average | 47.8% | 46.0% | 6.2% | Harris +1.8% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[189] | September 11–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 49% | 3%[ae] |
| Mitchell Research[190][AB] | September 11, 2024 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Morning Consult[191] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,368 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R)[192] | September 4–6, 2024 | 931 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov[193] | September 3–6, 2024 | 1,077 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 49% | 1% |
| Patriot Polling[194] | September 1–3, 2024 | 822 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[195] | August 28 – September 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[196] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Emerson College[197] | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 47% | 3%[af] |
| 51%[f] | 48% | 1%[ag] | ||||
| ActiVote[198] | July 28 – August 28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| EPIC-MRA[199] | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| 702 (RV) | 49% | 46% | 5% | |||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| YouGov[200][AC] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 44% | 12%[ah] |
| – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% | ||
| TIPP Insights[201][B] | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[202][ai] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[203][D] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Focaldata[103] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 47% | – |
| The Bullfinch Group[204][AD] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[205][P] | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[206] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[207] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| 619 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 5% | |||
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 6% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[208][F] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[209] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 4% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[210][AE] | July 25–26, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Fox News[211] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[212] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||||
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention concludes | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[213][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[214] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[215] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 616 (LV) | 48% | 46% | 6% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[216] | September 6–9, 2024 | 556 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| YouGov[217][G] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 43% | 1% | 1% | – | 7%[ae] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[218] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| 702 (RV) | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [i] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 10, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 46.2% | 44.8% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | — | 3.5% | Harris +1.4% |
| RealClearPolitics | August 23 – September 11, 2024 | September 11, 2024 | 46.4% | 45.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% | — | 1.5% | 2.6% | Harris +1.2% |
| 270toWin | through September 13, 2024 | September 13, 2024 | 47.0% | 44.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | Harris +2.6% |
| Average | 46.5% | 44.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | Harris +1.7% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Research[190][AB] | September 11, 2024 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1% | – | 4%[aj] |
| CNN/SSRS[219] | August 23–29, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 4% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Z to A Research (D)[220][AF] | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| YouGov[200][AC] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 7%[ak] |
| – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | ||
| TIPP Insights[201][B] | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[203][D] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Focaldata[103] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | – |
| 702 (RV) | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | |||
| 702 (A) | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[221] | August 12–15, 2024 | 530 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group[204][AD] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[205][P] | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[207] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| 619 (LV) | 48% | 43% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | |||
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[222] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 771 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[209] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Fox News[211] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[223] | July 22–24, 2024 | 512 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Glengariff Group[224][AG] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Emerson College[212] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glengariff Group[225][AG] | August 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA[199] | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[226][AH] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[202][ai] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 8% |
| Civiqs[227][AF] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[226][AH] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA[228][AI] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| Emerson College[229][AJ] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Marketing Resource Group[230] | July 11–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 39% | 25%[al] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[213][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[231][AK] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[232] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[233][AJ] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 12% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[234] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| EPIC-MRA[235][AI] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College[236] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||||
| Mitchell Research[237][AB] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[238] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| 636 (LV) | 47% | 46% | 7% | |||
| Mitchell Research[239][AB] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R)[240][AL] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Prime Group[241][AM] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[214] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[242] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[243] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| 616 (LV) | 47% | 46% | 7% | |||
| Emerson College[244] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 48%[f] | 52% | – | ||||
| CBS News/YouGov[245] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Fox News[246] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[247] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group[248] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 42% | 22%[al] |
| The Bullfinch Group[249][AD] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[250] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Wall Street Journal[251] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights[252][AN] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Emerson College[253] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 50%[f] | 50% | – | ||||
| CNN/SSRS[254] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
| Mitchell Research[255][AB] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University[256] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[257] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[258][AO] | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[259] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College[260] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| EPIC-MRA[261] | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Fox News[262] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[263] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
| Target Insyght[264] | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Glengariff Group[265][AG] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| John Zogby Strategies[266] | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS[267] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[268] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[269] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[270] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Emerson College[271] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College[215] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[272] | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[273] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
| Marketing Resource Group[274] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
| Emerson College[275] | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[276][AP] | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[277] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| EPIC-MRA[278] | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Emerson College[279] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
| Mitchell Research[280][AB] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[281][AQ] | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
| Prime Group[282][AM] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| 40% | 43% | 17%[am] | ||||
| EPIC-MRA[283] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[284][AQ] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[285][AR] | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[286] | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College[287] | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[288] | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[289][AI] | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[290] | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[291] | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[292][AS] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R)[293] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| EPIC-MRA[228] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| Emerson College[229][AJ] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[231][AK] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[an] |
| YouGov[294][G] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[232] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 7%[an] |
| EPIC-MRA[235] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Emerson College[236] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Mitchell Research[237][AB] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research[239][AB] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| KAConsulting (R)[240][AL] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7%[ao] |
| Prime Group[241][AM] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[214] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[242] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[243] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 16%[ao] |
| 616 (LV) | 42% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 11%[ao] | |||
| Emerson College[244] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fox News[246] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[247] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group[248] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| Wall Street Journal[251] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Emerson College[253] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research[255][AB] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[256] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 36% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[257] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[259] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College[260] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Fox News[262] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[295] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[296] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[227][AF] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 46% | 5% | 6% |
| 1983 Labs[297] | June 28–30, 2024 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[an] |
| P2 Insights[298][AT] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[238] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% |
| 636 (LV) | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% | |||
| Spry Strategies (R)[250] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[299] | March 14–17, 2024 | 616 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[300] | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[301] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
| New York Times/Siena College[302] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[273] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[226][AH] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[303] | July 16–18, 2024 | 437 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 10%[an] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[304] | July 8–10, 2024 | 465 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 9%[an] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[305] | June 8–11, 2024 | 719 (LV) | – | 36% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 18%[an] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[306] | May 2–4, 2024 | 650 (LV) | – | 37% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
| CBS News/YouGov[245] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 0% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[254] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS[267] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[307] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[279] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[213][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Glengariff Group[265][AG] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[211] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
| Glengariff Group[224][AG] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[213][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Emerson College/The Hill[308] | Mar 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Glengariff Group[265][AG] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Marketing Resource Group[274] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[226][AH] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[213][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[211] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[213][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[213][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[262] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Glengariff Group[265][AG] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| CNN/SSRS[267] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[269] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
| New York Times/Siena College[302] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[262] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[301] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[267] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[302] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[277] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research[280][AB] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[281][AQ] | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[283] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[284][AQ] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[301] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |
Minnesota
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embold Research/MinnPost[309] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,616 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 45% | 6%[ap] |
| Morning Consult[310] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| SurveyUSA[311][AU] | August 27–29, 2024 | 635 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| SurveyUSA[312][AU] | July 23–25, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | 10%[aq] |
| Fox News[313] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,071 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris DFL |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[314] | September 6–9, 2024 | 617 (LV) | – | 51% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Mississippi
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[315] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[315] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Missouri
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GQR (D)[316] | September 6–12, 2024 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 44% | 1% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| ActiVote[317] | July 25 – August 22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 59% | 41% | – |
| YouGov/Saint Louis University[318] | August 8–16, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 41% | 5%[ar] |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[319] | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
| Emerson College[320] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,830 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout[321] | October 10–11, 2023 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| SurveyUSA[322] | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
| Emerson College[323] | October 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 9% |
| Emerson College[324] | September 23–27, 2022 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
| SurveyUSA[325] | September 14–18, 2022 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
| SurveyUSA[326] | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,981 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA[327] | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout[328] | September 18–20, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 36% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout[329] | April 21–22, 2021 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[319] | June 17–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 35% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
Montana
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ David Binder Research (D)[330][P] |
August 25–29, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 56% | 41% | 3% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[331][D] | August 13–20, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 58% | 35% | 7% |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Emerson College[332] | August 5–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | 3.0% | 55% | 40% | 5% |
| 58%[f] | 43% | – | ||||
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[331][D] | August 13–20, 2024 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 58% | 31% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling[333][AV] | August 10–12, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 38% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 8% |
| Emerson College[332] | August 5–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 39% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RMG Research[334][AW] | August 6–14, 2024 | 540 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 57% | 39% | 2% | 2% |
Nebraska
[edit]Statewide
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[335][AX] | August 23–27, 2024 | 1,293 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 37% | 9%[as] |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torchlight Strategies (R)[336][AY] | July 8–11, 2024 | 698 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 33% | 15%[at] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[337] | April 24–25, 2024 | 737 (V) | ± 3.6% | 57% | 34% | 9% |
| Change Research (D)[338][AZ] | November 13–16, 2023 | 1,048 (LV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
| Emerson College[339] | October 1–4, 2023 | 423 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 31% | 23% |
Nebraska's 2nd congressional district
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[335][AX] | August 23–27, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 47% | 42% | 11%[au] |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R)[BA][340] | August 14–17, 2024 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 42% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[341][BB] | August 10–17, 2024 | 437 (LV) | – | 47% | 42% | 5% | 6% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torchlight Strategies (R)[336][AY] | July 8–11, 2024 | 300 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | 16%[av] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[337] | April 24–25, 2024 | – | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[337] | April 24–25, 2024 | – | – | 34% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iron Light Intelligence[342][BC] | May 17–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 13% | 8% |
Nevada
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [aw] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 24 – September 5, 2024 | September 5, 2024 | 48.0% | 47.4% | 4.6% | Harris +0.6% |
| 270ToWin | August 6–September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.8% | 47.2% | 5.0% | Harris +1.1% |
| 538 | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.0% | 45.5% | 8.5% | Harris +0.5% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 9, 2024 | September 9, 2024 | 48.6% | 48.1% | 3.3% | Harris +0.5% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 6, 2024 | September 6, 2024 | 48.1% | 47.6% | 4.3% | Harris +0.5% |
| Race to the WH | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 4.4% | Harris +1.0% |
| Average | 47.3% | 46.8% | 5.9% | Harris +0.5% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[343] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Patriot Polling[344] | September 1–3, 2024 | 788 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[345] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 48% | 5%[ax] |
| Emerson College[346] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 48% | 3%[ay] |
| 49%[f] | 49% | 1%[az] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[347] | August 23–26, 2024 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 450 (RV) | 49% | 45% | 6% | |||
| Fox News[26] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,026 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | 2%[ae] |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[348][D] | August 13–18, 2024 | 980 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Focaldata[349] | August 6–16, 2024 | 678 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 54% | 46% | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[350] | August 12–15, 2024 | 677 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 677 (LV) | 47% | 48% | 5% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[351] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[352] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[353][F] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[354] | July 24–28, 2024 | 454 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 47% | 45% | 7% |
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention concludes | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[355] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Republican National Convention begins | ||||||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[356] | May 7–13, 2024 | 459 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[357] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
| New York Times/Siena College[358] | October 22–November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| 611 (LV) | 42% | 50% | 8% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [i] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 9, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 46.4% | 45.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | — | 5.4% | Harris +0.6% |
| RealClearPolling | August 12 – August 29, 2024 | August 29, 2024 | 46.4% | 46.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 4.5% | Harris +0.4% |
| 270toWin | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.6% | 46.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | Harris +1.6% |
| Average | 46.8% | 45.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.6% | Harris +0.9% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[359] | September 6–9, 2024 | 698 (LV) | – | 45% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| YouGov[360][G] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 46% | 0% | 1% | – | 4%[ae] |
| CNN/SSRS[361] | August 23–29, 2024 | 976 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[362] | August 25–28, 2024 | 490 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[363] | August 23–26, 2024 | 416 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| 450 (RV) | 48% | 45% | – | 2% | 4% | 1% | |||
| Fox News[26] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,026 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2%[ae] |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[364][D] | August 13–18, 2024 | 980 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Focaldata[365] | August 6–16, 2024 | 678 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 42% | 7% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| 678 (RV) | 49% | 39% | 9% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% | |||
| 678 (A) | 49% | 39% | 9% | – | 0% | 1% | 2% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[366] | August 12–15, 2024 | 536 (LV) | – | 42% | 43% | 6% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[367] | August 12–15, 2024 | 677 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| 677 (LV) | 44% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | |||
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[368] | July 26–August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[369] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 470 (LV) | – | 40% | 40% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[354] | July 24–28, 2024 | 454 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 43% | 7% | – | 1% | 3% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[370] | July 22–24, 2024 | 435 (LV) | – | 43% | 45% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strategies 360[371] | August 7–14, 2024 | 350 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 48%' | 42% | 5% | 5% |
New Hampshire
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [ba] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 24 – August 19, 2024 | August 21, 2024 | 50.7% | 45.7% | 3.6% | Harris +5.0 |
| 270ToWin | July 22 – August 21, 2024 | August 21, 2024 | 48.0% | 44.3% | 7.7% | Harris +3.7 |
| Average | 49.4% | 45.0% | 5.6% | Harris +4.4 | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| University of New Hampshire[372] | August 15–19, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 52% | 47% | 1% |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Emerson College[373] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52%[f] | 48% | – | ||
| University of New Hampshire[374] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 53% | 46% | 1% |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[375] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College[376] | September 11–12, 2024 | 2,241 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 51% | 43% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[377] | August 15–19, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 3%[bb] |
| Emerson College[373] | July 26–28, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 6% | 0% | 1% | – | 4% |
| Saint Anselm College[378] | July 24–25, 2024 | 2,083 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[374] | July 23–25, 2024 | 2,875 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 49% | 43% | 4% | 8% |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
| NHJournal/Praecones Analytica[379] | July 19–21, 2024 | 601 (V) | – | 39% | 40% | 21% | – |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[380] | May 16–20, 2024 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Marist College[381] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Emerson College[382] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[383] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Emerson College[384] | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Saint Anselm College[385] | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College[386] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
| co/efficient[387] | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
| Emerson College[388] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell[389] | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
| Emerson College[390] | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College[391] | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| University of New Hampshire[392] | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 43% | 8% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R)[375] | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | – |
| Saint Anselm College[393][BD] | May 7–10, 2021 | 1,267 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | – |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Anselm College[394] | June 28–29, 2024 | 1,746 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 42% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| University of New Hampshire[380] | May 16–20, 2024 | 1,140 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 41% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHJournal/Praecones Analytica[379] | July 19–21, 2024 | 601 (V) | – | 39% | 40% | 21% | – |
| NHJournal/Praecones Analytica[395] | May 15–20, 2024 | 862 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 37% | 37% | 15% | 11% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[396] | May 6–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 42% | 36% | 11% | 11% |
| Marist College[381] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 41% | 12% | 3% |
| Saint Anselm College[397] | December 18–19, 2023 | 1,711 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 39% | 8% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[382] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other /
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[384] | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 39% | 5% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other /
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist College[381] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[382] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist College[381] | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
| Emerson College[382] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[383] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 33% | 15%[bc] | 5% |
| Saint Anselm College[385] | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 10 | 2% |
| Emerson College[386] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 14% | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire[392] | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[383] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 15%[bd] | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Tim Scott
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Tim Scott Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[383] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 34% | 14%[be] | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Chris Christie
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Chris Christie Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[383] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 20% | 27%[bf] | 10% |
Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Mike Pence Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire/CNN[383] | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 25%[bg] | 5% |
Joe Biden vs. Chris Sununu
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Chris Sununu Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[386] | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 44% | 14% | 6% |
| co/efficient[387] | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 36% | 48% | – | 16% |
| Praecones Analytica[398] | April 14–16, 2022 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 36% | 53% | – | 12% |
Bernie Sanders vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[382] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47.6% | 42.5% | 9.8% |
Elizabeth Warren vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Elizabeth Warren Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[382] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
New Jersey
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United 2024 (R)[399] | July 1–2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
| co/efficient (R)[400] | June 26–27, 2024 | 810 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 41% | 20%[bh] |
| Emerson College[401] | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 39% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United 2024 (R)[399] | July 1–2, 2024 | 477 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 8% | — | 3% | 3% |
| Emerson College[401] | March 26–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 36% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
New Mexico
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| Emerson College[402] | August 20–22, 2024 | 956 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| 54%[f] | 46% | – | ||||
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[403] | September 6–9, 2024 | 521 (LV) | – | 49% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[404] | August 20–22, 2024 | 956 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 40% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[405] | August 12–15, 2024 | 592 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 6% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[406] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 493 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc.[407][bi] | September 6–13, 2024 | 532 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 39% | 3% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892 Polling (R)[408][BE] | June 19–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[409][BF] | June 13–14, 2024 | 555 (V) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 505 (LV) | – | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[410][BF] | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[411] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 38% | 13% |
| Emerson College[412] | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Emerson College[413] | September 8–11, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver vs. Randall Terry
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Randall Terry Constitution |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1892 Polling (R)[408][BE] | June 19–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 505 (LV) | – | 41% | 46% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][K] | April 13–21, 2024 | 505 (LV) | – | 46% | 36% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[410] | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[411] | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
New York
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| ActiVote[414] | August 1–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 58% | 42% | – |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Siena College[415] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| SoCal Research[416][Q] | July 18–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College[415] | July 28 – August 1, 2024 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
North Carolina
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Undecided [bj] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[417] | August 4 – September 13, 2024 | September 13, 2024 | 48.1% | 48.0% | 3.9% | Trump +0.1% |
| 270ToWin[418] | August 22 – September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.3% | 47.8% | 4.9% | Harris +0.5% |
| 538[419] | through September 13, 2024 | September 13, 2024 | 47.3% | 47.4% | 5.3% | Harris +0.2% |
| Silver Bulletin[420] | through September 9, 2024 | September 9, 2024 | 49.0% | 47.8% | 3.2% | Trump +1.2% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[421] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.1% | 48.2% | 3.7% | Harris +0.1% |
| RacetotheWH[422] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.7% | 48.3% | 4.0% | Harris +0.6% |
| Average | 47.7% | 47.72% | 4.58% | Harris +0.02% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIPP Insights[423][B] | September 11–13, 2024 | 973 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[424] | September 11–12, 2024 | 1,094 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 46% | 6%[bk] |
| Quantus Polls and News (R)[425] | September 11–12, 2024 | 815 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 5%[bl] |
| 50% | 48% | 2%[bm] | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[97] | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 50% | 3%[bn] |
| Morning Consult[426] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,369 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| SurveyUSA[427][BG] | September 4–7, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[428] | September 5–6, 2024 | 692 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7%[bo] |
| 619 (LV) | 48% | 47% | 5%[u] | |||
| Patriot Polling[429] | September 1–3, 2024 | 804 (RV) | – | 50% | 48% | 2% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[430] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3%[u] |
| ActiVote[431] | August 6–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Emerson College[432] | August 25–28, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| 50%[f] | 49% | 1%[v] | ||||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[433][BH] | August 26–27, 2024 | 612 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 645 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| 700 (RV) | 47% | 49% | 4% | |||
| Fox News[26] | August 23–26, 2024 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | 1%[ae] |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| High Point University/SurveyUSA[434] | August 19–21, 2024 | 1,053 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 941 (LV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| Spry Strategies (R)[27][C] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
| Focaldata[435] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 50% | – |
| New York Times/Siena College[104] | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| 655 (LV) | 47% | 49% | 4% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[436] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[437] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[438] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Emerson College[439] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [i] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 9, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 46.7% | 46.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | — | 5.7% | Harris +0.4% |
| RealClearPolling | August 23 – September 13, 2024 | September 13, 2024 | 47.2% | 47.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | Trump +0.2% |
| 270toWin | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.2% | 46.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 4.0% | Harris +0.6% |
| Average | 47.0% | 46.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 3.8% | Harris +0.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[440] | September 6–9, 2024 | 495 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Quinnipiac University[97] | September 4–8, 2024 | 940 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 49% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4%[v] |
| YouGov[441][G] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 46% | 0% | 1% | – | 6%[ae] |
| East Carolina University[442] | August 26–28, 2024 | 920 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[443] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 45% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| 645 (LV) | 48% | 48% | – | 1% | 2% | 1% | |||
| Fox News[26] | August 23–26, 2024 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1%[ae] |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies (R)[27][C] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | – | 4% |
| Focaldata[435] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 47% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| 702 (RV) | 44% | 47% | 6% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
| 702 (A) | 43% | 47% | 7% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[444] | August 12–15, 2024 | 601 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 2% | – | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[104] | August 9–14, 2024 | 655 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 45% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 4% |
| 655 (LV) | 44% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | |||
| YouGov Blue (D)[445][BI] | August 5–9, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[446][BJ] | August 4–5, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[447] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 714 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 4% | – | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[437] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 44% | 5% | – | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[448] | July 22–24, 2024 | 586 (LV) | – | 46% | 43% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[449][AH] | July 17–20, 2024 | 573 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 44% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
North Dakota
[edit]Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic–NPL |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[450][BK] | June 15–19, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 62% | 28% | 10% |
| Emerson College[451] | October 1–4, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 54% | 17% | 28% |
Ohio
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[452] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
| Emerson College[453] | September 3–5, 2024 | 945 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
| 54%[f] | 45% | 1%[bp] | ||||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[454][BH] | August 31 – September 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 52% | 43% | 5% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| ActiVote[455] | August 2–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 56% | 44% | – |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[456][D] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,267 (LV) | – | 51% | 44% | 5% |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[457][P] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Ohio Northern University[458] | March 6–11, 2024 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[456][D] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,267 (LV) | – | 50% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[457][P] | July 23–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 9% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Oklahoma
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll[459] | August 24–31, 2024 | 323 (LV) | ± 5.45% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[460] | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Emerson College[461] | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
| Emerson College[462] | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
| SoonerPoll[463] | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
| Echelon Insights[464] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[460] | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 56% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[464] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 28% | 19% |
Oregon
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffman Research[465] | July 24–26, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffman Research[465] | July 24–26, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[466] | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| Emerson College[467] | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Pennsylvania
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [bq] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270ToWin[468] | August 12–September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.4% | 47.0% | 5.6% | Harris +0.4% |
| 538[469] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.6% | 45.7% | 7.7% | Harris +0.9% |
| Silver Bulletin[470] | through September 9, 2024 | September 9, 2024 | 48.3% | 48.0% | 3.7% | Harris +0.3% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[471] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.4% | 47.7% | 3.9% | Harris +0.7% |
| Race to the WH[472] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.6% | 47.2% | 4.2% | Harris +1.4% |
| RealClearPolitics[473] | July 22 – September 14, 2024 | September 14, 2024 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 4.5% | Harris +0.1% |
| Average | 47.6% | 46.85% | 5.55% | Harris +0.75% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[474] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,910 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R)[475] | September 4–6, 2024 | 889 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov[476] | September 3–6, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Patriot Polling[477] | September 1–3, 2024 | 857 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[478] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 47% | 8%[br] |
| Wick Insights[479][BL] | August 27–29, 2024 | 1,607 (LV) | – | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[480] | August 25–28, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 48% | 4%[bs] |
| 49%[f] | 49% | 1%[bt] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 47% | 2% |
| 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 48% | 1% | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[481][BH] | August 23, 2024 | 713 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| 800 (RV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| YouGov[200][AC] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 43% | 14%[bu] |
| – (LV) | ± 6.0% | 47% | 47% | 6%[bv] | ||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| ActiVote[482] | August 5–22, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[202][ai] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[27][C] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[483] | August 18–19, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7%[bw] |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[456][D] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,312 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Focaldata[435] | August 6–16, 2024 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 50% | – |
| Cygnal (R)[484] | August 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Emerson College[485][BM] | August 13–14, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[486] | August 8–12, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 47% | 3% |
| The Bullfinch Group[204][AD] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[487] | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| 693 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 4% | |||
| Trafalgar Group (R)[488] | August 6–8, 2024 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 49% | 48% | 3% |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[489][BN] | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[490][E] | July 29–30, 2024 | 627 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| GQR Research (D)[491] | July 26–30, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 46% | 4%[bx] |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[492][F] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Quantus Polls and News[493] | July 27–28, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[494] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| The Bullfinch Group[495][BO] | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Fox News[496] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[497] | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||||
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[498][BP] | July 20–23, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 9% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[499][Q] | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Republican National Convention concludes | ||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[500] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
| Republican National Convention begins | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[501][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[502] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| 872 (LV) | 47% | 48% | 5% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[503] | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 50% | 7% |
| Emerson College[504] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
| New York Times/Siena College[505] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 600 (LV) | 44% | 48% | 8% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [i] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 9, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 46.4% | 45.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | — | 6.9% | Harris +1.2% |
| RealClearPolling | August 13 – August 29, 2024 | August 29, 2024 | 47.8% | 46.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 4.4% | Harris +1.8% |
| 270toWin | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 46.7% | 45.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 5.5% | Harris +1.4% |
| Average | 47.0% | 45.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 5.2% | Harris +1.5% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[506] | September 6–9, 2024 | 801 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% | 9% |
| YouGov[507][G] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 0% | 1% | – | 8%[by] |
| Wick Insights[479][BL] | August 27–29, 2024 | 1,607 (LV) | – | 47% | 48% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| CNN/SSRS[508] | August 23–29, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 47% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[509] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 46% | 45% | – | 1% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 46% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 758 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 45% | – | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[200][AC] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 41% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 11%[bz] |
| – (LV) | ± 5.9% | 48% | 46% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Spry Strategies (R)[27][C] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 4% | – | 1% | – | 4% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[456][D] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,312 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 0% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Focaldata[435] | August 6–16, 2024 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 47% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| 719 (RV) | 49% | 46% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 1% | |||
| 719 (A) | 47% | 47% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 2% | |||
| Cygnal (R)[484] | August 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[510] | August 12–15, 2024 | 825 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Emerson College[485][BM] | August 13–14, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[486] | August 8–12, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 45% | 4% | – | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| The Bullfinch Group[204][AD] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 41% | 6% | 2% | 0% | – | 6% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[511] | July 31 – August 11, 2024 | 920 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 43% | 6% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| New York Times/Siena College[512] | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 5% |
| 693 (LV) | 46% | 44% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | |||
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 0% | – | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[513] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[494] | July 24–28, 2024 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 3% | – | 1% | 4% | 2% |
| The Bullfinch Group[495][BO] | July 23–25, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 44% | 6% | – | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[514] | July 22–24, 2024 | 851 (LV) | – | 42% | 46% | 5% | – | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| Fox News[496] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Emerson College[497] | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[515][AH] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 43% | 45% | 4% | – | 2% | – | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[502] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 42% | 7% | 0% | 3% | – | 8% |
| 872 (LV) | 42% | 43% | 6% | 0% | 2% | – | 7% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z to A Research (D)[516][AF] | August 23–26, 2024 | 613 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[202][ai] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 43% | 43% | 3% | 11% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[489][BN] | July 29 – August 1, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 45% | 45% | 4% | 6% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[517] | July 22–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 7% |
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
| Civiqs[518][AF] | July 13–16, 2024 | 536 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 44% | 46% | 5% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoCal Strategies (R)[481][BH] | August 23, 2024 | 713 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| 800 (RV) | 41% | 46% | 13% | |||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[499][Q] | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[515][AH] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[500] | July 15–16, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College[519][AJ] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[501][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[520][AK] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[502] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| 872 (LV) | 45% | 48% | 7% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[521] | July 1–5, 2024 | 794 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 51% | 5% |
| Emerson College[522][AJ] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[523] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[524] | June 27–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| The Bullfinch Group[525][BO] | June 14–19, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.46% | 45% | 44% | 12% |
| Emerson College[526] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[527] | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| 923 (LV) | 45% | 47% | 8% | |||
| KAConsulting (R)[528][AL] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Prime Group[529][AM] | May 9–16, 2024 | 487 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[503] | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[530] | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[531] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 1,023 (LV) | 45% | 48% | 7% | |||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[532][BQ] | April 24–30, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College[533] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||||
| CBS News/YouGov[534] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,288 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Muhlenberg College[535] | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
| Fox News[536] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[537] | April 8–15, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| The Bullfinch Group[538][AD] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 18%[ca] |
| Franklin & Marshall College[539] | March 20–31, 2024 | 870 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| Wall Street Journal[540] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[541][BR] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| CNN/SSRS[542] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,132 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Emerson College[543] | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| 48%[f] | 52% | – | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[544] | March 8–12, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Fox News[545] | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[546] | February 27 – March 7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[547] | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Emerson College[504] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
| Chism Strategies[548] | February 6–8, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 32% | 40% | 28% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[549] | January 22–25, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[550] | January 17–28, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[551] | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[552] | January 15–21, 2024 | 745 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
| Quinnipiac University[553] | January 4–8, 2024 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 46% | 5%[cb] |
| The Bullfinch Group[554] | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Change Research/Future Majority (D)[555] | December 3–7, 2023 | (RVs) | – | 40% | 46% | 14% |
| Muhlenberg College[556] | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[557] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[558] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[559] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| 816 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[505] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[560] | October 11–22, 2023 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[561] | October 5–10, 2023 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[562] | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| Emerson College[563] | October 1–4, 2023 | 430 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
| Quinnipiac University[564] | September 28 – October 2, 2023 | 1,725 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[565][BS] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Prime Group[566][AM] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| 38% | 43% | 19%[cc] | ||||
| Quinnipiac University[567] | June 22–26, 2023 | 1,584 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[568][AQ] | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[569] | March 27 – April 7, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 35% | 29% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[570] | February 19–26, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
| Targoz Market Research[571] | November 2–6, 2022 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 52% | 2% |
| Emerson College[572] | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Emerson College[573] | September 23–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights[574] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[575] | August 22–23, 2022 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)[576][BD] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[577] | July 19–21, 2022 | 712 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[578] | February 15–16, 2022 | 635 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[579][AS] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[519][AJ] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[520][AK] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| YouGov[580][G] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| New York Times/Siena College[502] | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 0% | 2% | 11% |
| 872 (LV) | 40% | 42% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 9% | |||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[521] | July 1–5, 2024 | 794 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Cygnal (R)[524] | June 27–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| Emerson College[526] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 12% |
| Marist College[581] | June 3–6, 2024 | 1,181 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 47% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3%[cd] |
| KAConsulting (R)[528][AL] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 39% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 7%[ce] |
| Prime Group[529][AM] | May 9–16, 2024 | 487 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[503] | May 7–13, 2024 | 812 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[530] | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[531] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 36% | 40% | 10% | 0% | 1% | 13%[cf] |
| 1,023 (LV) | 37% | 41% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 12%[cf] | |||
| Emerson College[533] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News[536] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[537] | April 8–15, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 6% |
| Wall Street Journal[540] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 41% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 10% |
| Emerson College[543] | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[544] | March 8–12, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| Fox News[545] | March 7–11, 2024 | 1,149 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[547] | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College[504] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[582] | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University[553] | January 4–8, 2023 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 3%[cg] |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[583] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[515][AH] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 46% | 4% | 2% | 6% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[584] | July 16–18, 2024 | 688 (LV) | – | 41% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 9%[ch] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[585] | July 8–10, 2024 | 719 (LV) | – | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 8%[ch] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[586] | June 8–11, 2024 | 456 (LV) | – | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 8%[ch] |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[587] | May 2–4, 2024 | 635 (LV) | – | 41% | 43% | 7% | 0% | 9% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[539] | March 20–31, 2024 | 870 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[588] | March 14–17, 2024 | 775 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | 1% | 7% |
| Franklin & Marshall College[550] | January 17–28, 2024 | 494 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[518][AF] | July 13–16, 2024 | 536 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 46% | 6% | 6% |
| 1983 Labs[589] | June 28–30, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 46% | 3% | 10%[ci] |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[527] | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 39% | 8% | 12% |
| 923 (LV) | 43% | 42% | 7% | 8% | |||
| Muhlenberg College[535] | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 35% | 35% | 18% | 12% |
| The Bullfinch Group[590][BO] | March 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 41% | 7% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[591] | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,069 (LV) | – | 39% | 40% | 9% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[592] | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 44% | 7% | 10% |
| New York Times/Siena College[593] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.6 | 35% | 35% | 23% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[562] | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 39% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[542] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,132 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 40% | 16% | 4% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[594] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 1% | 12% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[501][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 42% | 51% | 7% |
| Emerson College[504] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 48% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[496] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[501][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 42% | 50% | 8% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[501][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 37% | 50% | 13% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[496] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 54% | 44% | 2% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[501][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Muhlenberg College[556] | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[515][AH] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 43% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[501][E] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 41% | 50% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College[556] | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| New York Times/Siena College[595] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[592] | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 36% | 26% | 18% | 7% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College[556] | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
| New York Times/Siena College[595] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[596] | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 39% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[568][AQ] | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights[574] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[592] | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 12% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[596] | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Rhode Island
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[597] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 60% | 40% | – |
| Fleming & Associates[598] | September 29 – October 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Echelon Insights[599] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[597] | May 16–20, 2024 | 538 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 52% | 33% | 6% | 1% | 0% | 8% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embold Research[600][BT] | June 5–14, 2024 | 1,450 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 33% | 12% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[599] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
South Carolina
[edit]Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][cj] | April 13–21, 2024 | 501 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
| Emerson College[601] | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
| The Citadel[602] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
| Winthrop University[603] | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[604] | February 1–8, 2024 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
| 643 (LV) | 54% | 36% | 10% | |||
| Echelon Insights[605] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[606] | August 24–25, 2022 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[602] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[602] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Winthrop University[603] | February 2–10, 2024 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Citadel[602] | February 5–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 25% | 20% | 3% | 4% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][cj] | April 13–21, 2024 | 501 (LV) | – | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][cj] | April 13–21, 2024 | 501 (LV) | – | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Echelon Insights[605] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
South Dakota
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[607] | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,777 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 55% | 26% | 18% |
| Emerson College[608] | October 1–4, 2023 | 432 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
| Emerson College[609] | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[610][BU] | May 10–13, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 31% | 11% | 8% |
Tennessee
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald J. Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[611] | July 26 – August 29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 63% | 37% | – |
Hypothetical polling
Donald J. Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald J. Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[612][BV] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 55% | 31% | 14% |
| Targoz Market Research[613][BV] | December 14–28, 2023 | 929 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 63% | 31% | 5% |
| Siena College[614][BW] | November 5–10, 2023 | 805 (A) | – | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| Targoz Market Research[615][BV] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
| Emerson College[616] | October 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
| Targoz Market Research[617][BV] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,046 (V) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 11% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[618] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Donald J. Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
DonaldJ. Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[619] | April 26 – May 9, 2024 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 29% | 8% | 16%[ck] |
| Targoz Market Research[612][BV] | March 15 – April 2, 2024 | 974 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 28% | 15% | 10% |
| Targoz Market Research[613][BV] | December 14–28, 2023 | 933 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[620] | November 14 – December 2, 2023 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 26% | 12% | 17% |
| Targoz Market Research[615][BV] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Joe Manchin as an Independent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald J. Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Joe Manchin Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[615][BV] | October 5–16, 2023 | 844 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research[617][BV] | June 14–22, 2023 | 977 (V) | ± 2.9% | 52% | 36% | 11% |
| SSRS/Vanderbilt University[618] | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |
Texas
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult[621] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 2,940 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 43% | 5% |
| Emerson College[622] | September 3–5, 2024 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 51%[f] | 48% | 1%[cl] | ||||
| YouGov[623][BX] | August 23–31, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | 7%[cm] |
| ActiVote[624] | August 14–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54.5% | 45.5% | – |
| Quantus Polls and News (R)[625] | August 29–30, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 42% | 9%[cn] |
| 52% | 44% | 4%[co] | ||||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[626][O] | August 21–22, 2024 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 44% | 6% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| ActiVote[627] | July 31 – August 13, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| YouGov[628][BY] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[629] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 39% | 15%[cp] |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D)[630] | August 24–29, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| YouGov[623][BX] | August 23–31, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 49% | 44% | – | 2% | 0% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[631][O] | August 21–22, 2024 | 725 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 6% |
| University of Houston[632] | August 5–16, 2024 | 1,365 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 45% | 2% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote[633] | June 25 – July 18, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 54% | 46% | – |
| Remington Research Group (R)[634] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
| Manhattan Institute[635] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| UT Tyler[636] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| 931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||
| YouGov[637][BX] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 39% | 15%[cq] |
| YouGov[638][BX] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 40% | 12%[cr] |
| John Zogby Strategies[59][cj] | April 13–21, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 50% | 40% | 10% |
| Cygnal (R)[639] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| Marist College[640] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 55% | 44% | 1% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[641] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 489 (RV) | – | 50% | 42% | 8% |
| 458 (LV) | 51% | 42% | 7% | |||
| UT Tyler[642] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
| YouGov[643][BX] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11%[cs] |
| YouGov[628][BY] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Emerson College[644][BZ] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| YouGov[645][BX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
| YouGov[646][BX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[629] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[ct] |
| CWS Research (R)[647][CA] | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| Emerson College[648] | October 17–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| Emerson College[649] | September 20–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
| Echelon Insights[650] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[651] | June 8–10, 2022 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[652][CB] | June 20 – July 1, 2024 | 1,484 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 5% | – | 2% | 4%[cu] |
| Manhattan Institute[635] | June 25–27, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 36% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 11%[cv] |
| UT Tyler[636] | June 11–20, 2024 | 1,144 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 38% | 12% | – | 1% | 3%[cw] |
| 931 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 41% | 8% | – | 1% | 3%[cw] | ||
| YouGov[637][BX] | May 31 – June 9, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
| YouGov[638][BX] | April 12–22, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 36% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| Texas Lyceum[653] | April 12–21, 2024 | 926 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 31% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 15%[cx] |
| Cygnal (R)[639] | April 4–6, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
| UT Tyler[642] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 41% | 37% | 13% | 6% | 3% | – |
| YouGov[643][BX] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 36% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[654] | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Emerson College[644][BZ] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 36% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| YouGov[645][BX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[655] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 46% | 34% | 9% | 11%[cy] |
| Marist College[640] | March 18–21, 2024 | 1,117 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 36% | 15% | 1% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[655] | April 5–10, 2024 | 1,600 (LV) | ± 2.45% | 48% | 36% | 3% | 13%[cz] |
| YouGov[628][BY] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 8%[da] |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Manchin vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Manchin No Labels |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Public Affairs[656] | February 6–8, 2024 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][cj] | April 13–21, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[59][cj] | April 13–21, 2024 | 743 (LV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler[642] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 36% | 22% |
| YouGov[643][BX] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 40% | 29%[db] |
| YouGov[628][BY] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
| YouGov[645][BX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| YouGov[646][BX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UT Tyler[642] | February 18–26, 2024 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[654] | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 32% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 24% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[645][BX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| YouGov[646][BX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 38% | 24% |
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[629] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14%[dc] |
| CWS Research (R)[647] | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
| Echelon Insights[650] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[629] | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 40% | 15%[dd] |
Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Vivek Ramaswamy Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[645][BX] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
| YouGov[646][BX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 32% |
Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Mike Pence Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[646][BX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 29% | 36% | 36% |
Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Tim Scott Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov[646][BX] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Utah
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[657] | June 4–7, 2024 | 857 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Noble Predictive Insights[658] | April 8–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[659] | January 16–21, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
| Emerson College[660] | October 25–28, 2022 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[657] | June 4–7, 2024 | 857 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 20% | 21% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights[658] | April 8–16, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 23% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 15% |
Vermont
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Democratic National Convention concludes | ||||||
| University of New Hampshire[661] | August 15–19, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 70% | 29% | 1% |
| Democratic National Convention begins | ||||||
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire[662] | August 15–19, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 67% | 27% | 3% | 0% | – | 0% | 3%[de] |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research[663] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 117 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 58% | 28% | 14% |
| Florida Atlantic University/Mainstreet Research[663] | February 29 – March 3, 2024 | 111 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 59% | 28% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[664] | April 13–21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[664] | April 13–21, 2024 | 272 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 29% | 19% |
Virginia
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post/Schar School[665] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 43% | 6%[df] |
| 1,005 (LV) | 51% | 43% | 6%[df] | |||
| Morning Consult[666] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 873 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 42% | 6% |
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| Quantus Polls and News (R)[667] | August 20–22, 2024 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Roanoke College[668] | August 12–16, 2024 | 691 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 44% | 10%[dg] |
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Emerson College[669] | July 14–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[670] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 13%[dh] |
| 265 (LV) | 43% | 47% | 10%[di] | |||
| attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[671] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| 544 (LV) | 46% | 42% | 12% | |||
| New York Times/Siena College[672] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
| SoCal Strategies (R)[673][Q] | July 6–11, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Post/Schar School[665] | September 4–8, 2024 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 7%[dj] |
| 1,005 (LV) | 50% | 42% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6%[dj] | |||
| Virginia Commonwealth University[674] | August 26 – September 6, 2024 | 809 (A) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 36% | 2% | 1% | – | 15%[dk] |
| 749 (RV) | 49% | 36% | 1% | 1% | – | 13%[dl] |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roanoke College[675] | August 12–16, 2024 | 691 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3%[dm] |
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||||||
| New York Times/Siena College[672] | July 9–12, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11% |
| 661 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 10% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | |||||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[670] | July 14–15, 2024 | 301 (RV) | – | 40% | 41% | 7% | 12%[di] |
| 265 (LV) | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[dn] | |||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[671] | July 12–13, 2024 | 617 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 37% | 10% | 12% |
| 544 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 38% | 10% | 9% | ||
Washington
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elway Research[CC] | September 3–6, 2024 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 53% | 32% | 11% |
| DHM Research | July 12–17, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 40% | 14% |
| SurveyUSA[676][do] | July 10–13, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[677][CD] | July 24–25, 2024 | 581 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 38% | 6% | 4% |
West Virginia
[edit]Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research America[678][CE] | August 21–27, 2024 | 400 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 61% | 34% | 5% |
Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[679] | October 1–4, 2023 | 539 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jill Stein Mountain |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaplan Strategies[680] | June 4, 2024 | 464 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 28% | 2% | 15% |
Wisconsin
[edit]Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [dp] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics[681] | August 25 – September 12, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 49.2% | 48.0% | 2.8% | Harris +1.2% |
| 270ToWin[682] | August 10 – September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.6% | 46.0% | 5.4% | Harris +2.6% |
| 538[683] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 47.7% | 44.9% | 7.4% | Harris +2.8% |
| Silver Bulletin[684] | through September 9, 2024 | September 9, 2024 | 49.4% | 47.2% | 3.4% | Harris +2.2% |
| The Hill/DDHQ[685] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 49.5% | 46.4% | 4.1% | Harris +3.1% |
| Race to the WH[686] | through September 10, 2024 | September 10, 2024 | 48.9% | 46.5% | 4.6% | Harris +2.4% |
| Average | 48.6% | 46.05% | 5.35% | Harris +2.55% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[687] | September 11–12, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 47% | 4%[dq] |
| Morning Consult[688] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 638 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| co/efficient (R)[689] | September 4–6, 2024 | 917 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| CBS News/YouGov[690] | September 3–6, 2024 | 946 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Marquette University Law School[691] | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 52%[f] | 48% | – | ||
| 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 49% | 44% | 7% | ||
| 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 52%[f] | 48% | – | ||
| Patriot Polling[692] | September 1–3, 2024 | 826 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[693] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 7%[dr] |
| Emerson College[694] | August 25–28, 2024 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| 49%[f] | 50% | 1%[ds] | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 648 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 44% | 3% |
| 701 (RV) | 52% | 44% | 4% | |||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| YouGov[200][AC] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.3% | 48% | 42% | 10%[dt] |
| – (LV) | ± 5.9% | 51% | 46% | 3% | ||
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| BK Strategies[695][CF] | August 19–21, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[202][ai] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[27][C] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[203][D] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Focaldata[103] | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 48% | – |
| Quantus Polls and News[696][CG] | August 14–15, 2024 | 601 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| TIPP Insights[697][BP] | August 12–14, 2024 | 1,015 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| 976 (LV) | 47% | 47% | 6% | |||
| The Bullfinch Group[204][AD] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[698] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 5% |
| New York Times/Siena College[207] | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 46% | 4% |
| 661 (LV) | 50% | 46% | 3% | |||
| Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate. | ||||||
| RMG Research [699] | July 31 – August 5, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
| Marquette University Law School[700] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49%[f] | 50% | 1% | ||
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 6% | ||
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50%[f] | 49% | 1% | ||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[701][F] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108] | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| Fox News[702] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Emerson College[114] | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| 51%[f] | 49% | – | ||||
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[703][E] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 49% | 3% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[704][BP] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[705] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
| Emerson College[706] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[707] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| 603 (LV) | 46% | 48% | 6% | |||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[708] | September 6–9, 2024 | 626 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | – | 0% | 1% | 4% |
| YouGov[709][G] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 44% | 1% | 1% | – | 7%[du] |
| CNN/SSRS[710] | August 23–29, 2024 | 976 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 44% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[711] | August 25–28, 2024 | 672 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 648 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 701 (RV) | 51% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Cornel West Independent |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Others/ Undecided [i] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race to the WH | through September 9, 2024 | September 15, 2024 | 48.0% | 44.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | — | 1.9% | Harris +4.0% |
| RealClearPolitics | August 12 – September 5, 2024 | September 5, 2024 | 48.2% | 44.4% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | Harris +3.8% |
| 270toWin | through September 11, 2024 | September 11, 2024 | 49.0% | 44.2% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | Harris +4.8% |
| Average | 48.4% | 44.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | Harris +4.2% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University Law School[691] | August 28 – September 5, 2024 | 822 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| 738 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1%[dv] | ||
| Z to A Research (D)[712][AF] | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 2% | – | 0% | 1% | 3% |
| YouGov[200][AC] | August 15–23, 2024 | 500 (A) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 40% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 9%[dw] |
| – (LV) | ± 5.9% | 49% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | ||
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[203][D] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,099 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Focaldata[103] | August 6–16, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| 700 (RV) | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | |||
| 700 (A) | 50% | 43% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | |||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[713] | August 12–15, 2024 | 469 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group[204][AD] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 1% | 1% | – | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[207] | August 5–8, 2024 | 661 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 42% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 661 (LV) | 49% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | |||
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 404 (LV) | – | 48% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[714] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 597 (LV) | – | 43% | 43% | 3% | – | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| Marquette University Law School[700] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 45% | 43% | 8% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 45% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[108] | July 24–28, 2024 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 6% | – | 0% | 3% | 2% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[715] | July 22–24, 2024 | 523 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 5% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Fox News[702] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 1% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies (R)[27][C] | August 14–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 42% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
| Emerson College[114] | July 22–23, 2024 | 845 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[202][ai] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | 4% | 7% |
| Civiqs[716][AF] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University Law School[700] | July 24 – August 1, 2024 | 877 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
| 801 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% | ||
| Emerson College[111][AJ] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[717][CH] | July 11–12, 2024 | 653 (V) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[112][AK] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[703][E] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[704][BP] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[113] | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[718][P] | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 50% | 5% |
| Emerson College[719][AJ] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[720] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[116] | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 50%[f] | 50% | – | ||
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 47% | 44% | 9% | ||
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 51%[f] | 49% | – | ||
| Emerson College[721] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||||
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[722] | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 40% | 38% | 22%[dx] |
| 290 (LV) | 40% | 41% | 19%[dy] | |||
| KAConsulting (R)[723][AL] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Prime Group[724][AM] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[705] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[725] | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[726] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| 614 (LV) | 46% | 47% | 7% | |||
| Quinnipiac University[727] | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 44% | 6% |
| Emerson College[115] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 48%[f] | 52% | – | ||||
| Kaplan Strategies[728] | April 20–21, 2024 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
| CBS News/YouGov[117] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% |
| Fox News[729] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[730] | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[731] | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||
| 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% | ||
| 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49%[f] | 51% | – | ||
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[732][CI] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Wall Street Journal[733] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[734][CJ] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Emerson College[735] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
| 48%[f] | 52% | – | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[736] | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[737] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| Emerson College[706] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Kaplan Strategies[738] | February 23, 2024 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Marquette University Law School[739] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49%[f] | 49% | 2% | ||
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% | ||
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49%[f] | 50% | 1% | ||
| Fox News[740] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[741] | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[742] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| J.L. Partners[743][CK] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[744] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Emerson College[745] | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
| 819 (LV) | 45% | 45% | 10% | |||
| New York Times/Siena College[707] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[746] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
| 50%[f] | 48% | 1% | ||||
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[747] | October 5–10, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College[748] | October 1–4, 2023 | 532 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 42% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[749][CL] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Prime Group[750][AM] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 53% | 47% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 37% | 40% | 23%[dz] | ||
| Marquette University Law School[751] | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
| 52%[f] | 43% | 4% | ||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[752] | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[753] | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Emerson College[754] | September 16–18, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[755][AS] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
| Marquette University Law School[756] | October 26–31, 2021 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[757] | July 16–18, 2024 | 470 (LV) | – | 42% | 42% | 6% | – | 1% | 9%[ea] |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[758] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,087 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| Emerson College[111][AJ] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 6%[an] |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[112][AK] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[an] |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[BP] | July 6–10, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 11% | – | 3% | 12%[eb] |
| YouGov[759][G] | July 4–12, 2024 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 38% | 43% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[113] | July 1–5, 2024 | 695 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[718][P] | June 28 – July 2, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 44% | 9% | – | 3% | 6%[an] |
| Marquette University Law School[116] | June 12–20, 2024 | 871 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 3%[ec] |
| 784 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 2%[an] | ||
| Emerson College[721] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 7% |
| J.L. Partners[760] | June 5–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| KAConsulting (R)[723][AL] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 42% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 6%[ed] |
| Prime Group[724][AM] | May 9–16, 2024 | 488 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 7% | 3% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[705] | May 7–13, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[725] | May 6–13, 2024 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| New York Times/Siena College[726] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 14%[cf] |
| 614 (LV) | 39% | 40% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 13%[cf] | |||
| Quinnipiac University[727] | May 2–6, 2024 | 1,457 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 40% | 39% | 12% | 1% | 4% | 4% |
| Emerson College[115] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News[729] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,198 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[730] | April 8–15, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Marquette University Law School[731] | April 3–10, 2024 | 814 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 40% | 41% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| 736 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 41% | 42% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[732][CI] | April 6–9, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 9% |
| Wall Street Journal[733] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 38% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
| Emerson College[735] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[736] | March 8–14, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[737] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Emerson College[706] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
| Marquette University Law School[739] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 40% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
| 808 (LV) | 39% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 1% | |||
| Fox News[740] | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[761] | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[762] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% |
| J.L. Partners[743][CK] | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12%[ee] |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[716][AF] | July 13–16, 2024 | 514 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
| P2 Insights[763][AT] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 45% | 4% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[722] | May 30–31, 2024 | 338 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 18% |
| 290 (LV) | 40% | 35% | 12% | 13% | |||
| New York Times/Siena College[764] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 37% | 35% | 22% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[765] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBS News/YouGov[117] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,226 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 0% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[703][E] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Emerson College[706] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[702] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 50% | 4% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[703][E] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[703][E] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[702] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,046 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[703][E] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[703][E] | July 10–11, 2024 | 548 (RV) | – | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquette University Law School[739] | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 33% | 45% | 22% |
| 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41%[f] | 57% | 2% | ||
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 35% | 46% | 19% | ||
| 808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42%[f] | 57% | 1% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College[766] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[746] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 41% | 23% |
| 44%[f] | 53% | 3% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College[766] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Marquette University Law School[746] | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
| 48%[f] | 50% | 1% | ||||
| Marquette University Law School[751] | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| 49%[f] | 47% | 4% | ||||
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[767] | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Wyoming
[edit]Hypothetical polling
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[768] | October 1–4, 2023 | 478 (RV) | ±4.5% | 68% | 15% | 18% |
See also
[edit]
- Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
- ^ The boundaries of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district have since changed because of redistricting.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl bm bn bo bp bq br bs bt bu bv bw bx by bz ca cb cc cd ce cf cg ch ci cj ck cl cm cn co cp cq cr cs ct cu cv cw cx cy cz da db dc dd de df dg dh di dj dk dl dm dn do dp dq dr ds dt du dv dw dx dy dz ea eb ec ed ee ef eg eh ei ej ek el em en eo ep eq er es et eu ev ew ex ey ez fa fb fc fd fe ff fg fh fi fj fk fl fm fn fo fp fq fr fs ft fu fv fw fx fy fz ga gb gc gd ge gf gg gh gi gj gk gl gm gn go gp gq gr gs gt gu gv gw gx gy gz ha hb hc hd he hf hg hh hi hj hk hl hm hn ho hp hq hr hs ht hu Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 5%
- ^ a b c d e f g Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Poll conducted for WTVT
- ^ "Another candidate" with 7%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b c d "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ a b c d "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
- ^ De la Cruz with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 15%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%, "would not vote" with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
- ^ Kishore (I) & Terry (C) with 0% each
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ a b c Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Other" with 4%
- ^ "Someone else" with 11%
- ^ "Other" with 5%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; None of these candidates with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ Donald Trump with 9%; "Another candidate" with 6%
- ^ Donald Trump with 10%; "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ Donald Trump with 16%; "Another candidate" with 11%
- ^ Donald Trump with 15%; "Another candidate" with 10%
- ^ Kennedy or other third-party candidate with 7%; Undecided with 13%
- ^ Poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 6%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 6%
- ^ Independent/Third party candidate with 12%
- ^ "Undecided" & "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with >1%
- ^ Lars Mapstead with 1%
- ^ a b c d Lars Mapstead (L) with 0%
- ^ "Undecided" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b c Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 8%
- ^ "Someone else"
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Other candidate" with 3%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ "Someone else" with 9%
- ^ "Someone else" with 6%
- ^ "Someone else" with 7%
- ^ "Don't know" with 8%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ a b Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ Jill Stein (G) with 2%; Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ Undecided with 10%; Chase Oliver (L) with 3%
- ^ Libertarian candidate with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 21%
- ^ "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ "Don't know" with 10%; "Libertarian candidate" with 3%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ a b "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
- ^ "Another candidate" with 5%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ a b De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 3%
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Other" with 2%
- ^ Randall Terry (C) with 1%
- ^ "Will not vote" with 4%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 12%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 11%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 0%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
- ^ Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 12%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Begrich's campaign for U.S. House and the National Republican Congressional Committee
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ a b c d e f g h Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ Poll sponsored by Talk Business & Politics
- ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Colorado Polling Institute
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
- ^ a b c Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b c d e f g h Poll commissioned by AARP Cite error: The named reference "AARP" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
- ^ Poll conducted for American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by The Times-Picayune/The New Orleans Advocate
- ^ a b This poll was commissioned by the AARP.
- ^ This poll was commissioned by EMILY's List, which supports Biden.
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
- ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll commissioned by MIRS
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
- ^ a b c d e f g h Poll conducted for The Independent Center
- ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Detroit Free Press
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ a b c d e f Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project Cite error: The named reference "CAP" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
KULRTVwas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by Split Ticket
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
- ^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Railroaders for Public Safety
- ^ Poll sponsored by Nebraska Examiner
- ^ Poll sponsored by Future Majority
- ^ Poll commissioned by League of American Workers
- ^ a b Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by the New Mexico Political Report
- ^ Cite error: The named reference
WRALwas invoked but never defined (see the help page). - ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
- ^ Poll sponsored by Carolina Forward
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
- ^ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by 2WAY
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by RealClearPennsylvania
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
- ^ a b c d e Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ Poll sponsored by Salve Regina University
- ^ Poll sponsored by South Dakota News Watch & Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Tennessean
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
- ^ Poll sponsored by Defend Texas Liberty PAC
- ^ Poll sponsored by the University of Houston and Texas Southern University
- ^ Poll sponsored by Crosscut.com
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
- ^ Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews
- ^ Poll sponsored by Platform Communications
- ^ Poll sponsored by Trending Politics
- ^ Poll conducted for Protect Our Care
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
References
[edit]Template:2024 United States presidential election Template:Future opinion polling