Jump to content

2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
Turnout41.7%
 
Nominee Tom Corbett Dan Onorato
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Jim Cawley H. Scott Conklin
Popular vote 2,172,763 1,814,788
Percentage 54.49% 45.51%

Corbett:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Onorato:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%      No data

Governor before election

Ed Rendell
Democratic

Elected Governor

Tom Corbett
Republican

The 2010 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in Pennsylvania and other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. In the primary, Democrats nominated Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato, who defeated Pennsylvania Auditor General Jack Wagner, State Senator Anthony H. Williams and Montgomery County Commissioner Joe Hoeffel. Republicans nominated Pennsylvania Attorney General Tom Corbett, who defeated State Representative Sam Rohrer in the primary. In primary elections for lieutenant governor, which were held separately, H. Scott Conklin defeated Jonathan Saidel and Doris Smith-Ribner in the Democratic primary. Jim Cawley emerged from a nine-candidate field in the Republican primary.

Corbett defeated Onorato in the November general election. As lieutenant gubernatorial nominees run on a joint ticket with the gubernatorial nominee of their respective parties in the general election in Pennsylvania, Cawley was elected lieutenant governor over Conklin. As of 2024, this is the last time a Republican was elected Governor of Pennsylvania and the only time in the 21st century. This is also the last time Republicans won the following counties in a gubernatorial election: Allegheny, Erie, Beaver, Centre, Dauphin, Luzerne, Monroe, Northampton, Lehigh, Berks, Bucks, and Chester. This is the last Pennsylvania gubernatorial election in which the winner won a majority of counties.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Dropped Out

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Dates administered Dan
Onorato
Jack
Wagner
Joe
Hoeffel
Anthony
Williams
Chris
Doherty
Tom
Knox
Undecided
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[1] May 7, 2010 35% 8% 11% 10% 36%
Rasmussen Reports[2] May 6, 2010 34% 17% 9% 17% 17%
Quinnipiac[3] April 28 – May 5, 2010 36% 8% 9% 8% 37%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[4] May 2, 2010 41% 5% 6% 8% 40%
Quinnipiac[5] March 31 – April 5, 2010 20% 13% 15% 5% 47%
Research 2000[6] March 8–10, 2010 19% 10% 12% 3% 56%
Franklin and Marshall[7] February 23, 2010 6% 6% 6% 1% 4% 72%
Rasmussen Reports[8] October 13, 2009 19% 14% 11% 6% 4% 37%
Quinnipiac[9] September 30, 2009 14% 7% 12% 5% 4% 46%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Onorato—70–80%
  Onorato—60–70%
  Onorato—50–60%
  Onorato—40–50%
  Onorato—30–40%
  Wagner—30–40%
  Wagner—40–50%
  Wagner—50–60%
  Hoeffel—50–60%
  Williams—50–60%
Democratic primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Onorato 463,575 45.1
Democratic Jack Wagner 248,338 24.1
Democratic Anthony Williams 185,784 18.1
Democratic Joe Hoeffel 130,799 12.7
Total votes 1,028,496 100.0

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Dropped Out

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Dates administered Jim
Gerlach
Tom
Corbett
Sam
Rohrer
Undecided
Quinnipiac[5] March 31 – April 5, 2010 58% 7% 35%
Franklin and Marshall[7] February 23, 2010 26% 4% 65%
Rasmussen Reports[12] October 13, 2009 10% 54% 30%
Quinnipiac[9] September 30, 2009 13% 42% 43%

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Corbett—80–90%
  Corbett—70–80%
  Corbett—60–70%
  Corbett—50–60%
  Rohrer—50–60%
  Rohrer—70–80%
Republican primary results[10]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Corbett 589,249 68.7
Republican Sam Rohrer 267,893 31.3
Total votes 857,142 100.0

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Lean R (flip) October 14, 2010
Rothenberg Political Report[14] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[15] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] Likely R (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Lean R (flip) October 28, 2010

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Dates administered Tom
Corbett (R)
Dan
Onorato (D)
Quinnipiac[18] October 25–30, 2010 52% 42%
Rasmussen Reports[19] October 28, 2010 52% 43%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[20] October 28, 2010 52% 37%
Rasmussen Reports[19] October 21, 2010 50% 45%
Public Policy Polling[21] October 17–18, 2010 48% 46%
Quinnipiac[22] October 13–17, 2010 49% 44%
Rasmussen Reports[19] October 15, 2010 54% 40%
Rasmussen Reports[19] October 2, 2010 53% 41%
Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster[23] September 29, 2010 36% 32%
Suffolk University[24] September 24–27, 2010 47% 40%
Muhlenberg/Morning Call[25] September 18–23, 2010 46% 37%
CNN/Time[26] September 17–21, 2010 52% 44%
Quinnipiac[27] September 15–19, 2010 54% 39%
Rasmussen Reports[19] September 13, 2010 49% 39%
Rasmussen Reports[28] August 30, 2010 50% 37%
Rasmussen Reports[29] August 16, 2010 48% 38%
Public Policy Polling[30] August 14–16, 2010 48% 35%
Rasmussen Reports[31] July 28, 2010 50% 39%
Rasmussen Reports[32] July 14, 2010 48% 38%
Quinnipiac[33] July 6–11, 2010 44% 37%
Rasmussen Reports[34] June 29, 2010 49% 39%
Public Policy Polling[35] June 19–21, 2010 45% 35%
Rasmussen Reports[36] June 2, 2010 49% 33%
Rasmussen Reports[37] May 19, 2010 49% 36%
Quinnipiac[38] May 4–10, 2010 43% 37%
Rasmussen Reports[39] April 15, 2010 45% 36%
Quinnipiac[40] March 30 – April 5, 2010 45% 33%
Public Policy Polling[41] March 29 – April 1, 2010 45% 32%
Rasmussen Reports[39] March 16, 2010 46% 29%
Research 2000[6] March 8–10, 2010 40% 34%
Rasmussen Reports[42] February 10, 2010 52% 26%
Rasmussen Reports[39] December 10, 2009 44% 28%
Quinnipiac[9] September 30, 2009 47% 28%

Results

[edit]
Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2010[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Corbett 2,172,763 54.49%
Democratic Dan Onorato 1,814,788 45.51%
Total votes 3,987,551 100.00%
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Muhlenberg/Morning Call
  2. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  3. ^ Quinnipiac
  4. ^ Muhlenberg/Morning Call
  5. ^ a b Quinnipiac
  6. ^ a b Research 2000
  7. ^ a b Franklin and Marshall
  8. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  9. ^ a b c Quinnipiac
  10. ^ a b "Pennsylvania Governor Primary Results". PA Secretary of State. May 18, 2010. Archived from the original on December 10, 2011. Retrieved June 2, 2010.
  11. ^ "Meehan quits governor's race".
  12. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  13. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  17. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  18. ^ Quinnipiac
  19. ^ a b c d e Rasmussen Reports
  20. ^ Muhlenberg/Morning Call Archived January 23, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  21. ^ Public Policy Polling
  22. ^ Quinnipiac
  23. ^ Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster
  24. ^ Suffolk University Archived September 30, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
  25. ^ Muhlenberg/Morning Call [permanent dead link]
  26. ^ CNN/Time
  27. ^ Quinnipiac
  28. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  29. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  30. ^ Public Policy Polling
  31. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  32. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  33. ^ Quinnipiac
  34. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  35. ^ Public Policy Polling
  36. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  37. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  38. ^ Quinnipiac [permanent dead link]
  39. ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
  40. ^ Quinnipiac
  41. ^ Public Policy Polling
  42. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  43. ^ "2010 General Election". Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on May 21, 2012. Retrieved November 2, 2010.
[edit]

Official campaign websites